Table 4
Average probabilities of successful performance, prose scale
| Selected proficiency scores |
Prose level | 150 | 200 | 250 | 300 | 350 |
1 | 48 | 81 | 95 | 99 | 100 |
2 | 14 | 40 | 76 | 94 | 99 |
3 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 78 | 93 |
4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 50 | 80 |
5 * | 2 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 68 |
* Probabilities are based on one task.
Table 5
Average probabilities of successful performance, document scale
| Selected proficiency scores |
Document level | 150 | 200 | 250 | 300 | 350 |
1 | 40 | 72 | 94 | 99 | 100 |
2 | 20 | 51 | 82 | 95 | 99 |
3 | 7 | 21 | 50 | 80 | 94 |
4 * | 4 | 13 | 34 | 64 | 85 |
5 * | <1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 41 |
* Probabilities are based on one task.
Table 6
Average probabilities of successful performance, quantitative scale
| Selected proficiency scores |
Quantitative level | 150 | 200 | 250 | 300 | 350 |
1* | 34 | 67 | 89 | 97 | 99 |
2 | 20 | 45 | 75 | 92 | 98 |
3 | 7 | 20 | 48 | 78 | 93 |
4 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 87 |
5 | <1 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 53 |
* Probabilities are based on one task.
Similar kinds of interpretations can be made using the information presented for
the document and quantitative scales. For example, someone who is at 250 on the
document scale has, on average, an 82% chance of responding correctly to Level 2 tasks.
His or her likelihood of responding correctly decreases to 50% for Level 3 tasks, 34%
for Level 4 tasks, and only 3% for Level 5 tasks. Similarly, someone at 300 on the
quantitative scale has a 78% chance of responding correctly to tasks at this level, but
only a 58% chance with Level 4 tasks and a 20% chance with Level 5 tasks. Conversely,
they would be expected to perform Level 1 and 2 tasks correctly more than 90% of the
time.
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